A Multi-Criteria Evaluation Model for Elite Police Recruitment: Integrating CIPP, CSE-UCLA, and Extended ELECTRE III for Gegana Counter-Terrorism Unit, Indonesia Yofran Hengki Ndoluanak(a), Muchlas Suseno(b), Ahmad Ridwan(c)
(a,b,c) Doctoral Program in Education Research and Evaluation, Universitas Negeri Jakarta, Indonesia
Abstract
Background: Elite police recruitment systems in developing countries frequently lack systematic, merit-based evaluation frameworks that can simultaneously address quantitative personnel gaps and qualitative competency requirements. Indonesia^s Gegana Counter-Terrorism Unit (Korbrimob Polri) exemplifies this challenge, operating with a systemic personnel deficit of 51.2% against its authorized strength while facing rapidly escalating threat volumes across four specialized sub-units.
Objective: This study develops and validates a hybrid evaluation model integrating the CIPP (Context, Input, Process, Product) framework with CSE-UCLA (Center for the Study of Evaluation-University of California, Los Angeles) and Extended ELECTRE III multi-criteria decision analysis to generate an empirically grounded, merit-based recruitment competency prioritization system.
Methods: A mixed-methods convergent parallel design was employed. Data were collected from three instruments: Instrument C1 (document audit of personnel strength against Daftar Susunan Personel/DSP, February 2026, n=4 sub-units), Instrument C2 (semi-structured in-depth interviews with nine subject-matter experts, September 2025), and Instrument C3 (Likert-scale competency survey, 80 respondents, 46 items, α-=0.923). The three data sources were synthesized using Extended ELECTRE III with three integrated dimensions: D1-Importance (from C3, weight=0.40), D2-Gap Criticality (from C1, weight=0.35), and D3-Field Validation (from C2, weight=0.25), producing outranking matrices with concordance threshold c̄-=0.618 and discordance threshold d̄-=0.553.
Results: Personnel audit revealed a systemic deficit of 1,671 positions across four sub-units (Wanteror 49.8%, Jibom 44.9%, KBRN 46.2%, Bantek 39.2% fulfillment), with average international certification compliance of only 43.3%. Thematic analysis of C2 identified seven major themes across 45 analysis units, with T7.1 (Selection Instrument Gap) achieving universal saturation acros
