IMPACT OF TRANSPORTATION SECTOR ENERGY CONSUMPTION, DIESEL PRODUCTION, CRUDE OIL IMPORTS ON CARBON (CO2) EMISSIONS IN INDONESIA Anita Sholih Harahap, Fitrawaty, Arwansyah
PASCASARJANA ILMU EKONOMI UNIVERSITAS NEGERI MEDAN
Abstract
The problem in this study is the declining quality of the environment in Indonesia, such as increasing global temperatures and climate change which has caused natural disasters such as floods, landslides and other natural disasters which have had an impact on hampering the wheels of the economy and causing losses in the economy.This research was conducted in Indonesia by taking research data from 1990-2019 from each variable, namely CO2 Carbon Emissions, Transportation Sector Energy Consumption, Diesel Production, Crude Oil Imports. The data analysis technique performed is first using the Error Correction Model through several tests namely, stationarity test, integration degree test, cointegration test. The results showed that the variable value of Energy Consumption in the Transportation Sector, with a probability value of 0.0109 with a t-count value of 2.75101 means that if there is an increase in the energy consumption variable in the transportation sector, it will increase carbon emissions (CO2) in the short term and variable the value of Energy Consumption in the Transportation Sector, with a probability value of 0.0000 with a t-count value of 7.441488 means that if there is an increase in the energy consumption variable in the transportation sector, it will increase carbon emissions (CO2) in the long term. Diesel Production Variable, with a probability value of 0.9576 with a t-value of 0.053649. This means that if there is an increase in the Diesel Production variable it will not increase carbon emissions (CO2) in the short term, the Diesel Production Variable, with a probability value of 0.2043 with a t-value of -1.300928. This means that if there is an increase in the Diesel Production variable it will not increase carbon emissions (CO2) in the long term. Crude Oil Import Value Variable, with a probability value of 0.2933 with a t value of 0.2933. This means that if there is a decrease in the Crude Oil Import variable, it will reduce carbon emission in the short term, Crude Oil Import Value Variable, with a probability value of 0.0026 with a t value of 3.325363. This means that if there is an increase (depreciation) in the crude oil import variable, it will increase carbon emissions (CO2) in the long run.
Keywords: Energy Consumption Transportation Sector, Diesel Production, Crude Oil Imports, CO2 Carbon Emission
Keywords: Energy Consumption Transportation Sector, Diesel Production, Crude Oil Imports, CO2 Carbon Emission
Topic: Economics, Business and Management Education
